Is that 29k number the beginning of the second run??
The run forecast for the Kenai River is approximately 3.8 million, which is equal to the 20 year average run....The sockeye salmon run forecast for the Kasilof River is 1,062,000, which is 11% greater than the 20-year average run
Combination of high tides, 5 foot seas, and 20kt NE winds could make for some interesting times on Kenai Beach.
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
335 PM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
Just a note of caution. When the winds blow strong from the north fish usually do not move to the Kenai. Therefore, if the winds stay from the north this weekend may not be very good dip netting. However, if they switch to the southwest then fish tend to be pushed on the beach. I suspect this year may be like last year and fish come mid-week in good numbers and not on a weekend. If I was going to make one trip down to the Kenai it would not be this weekend but wait until next weekend when fishing conditions and movement have a higher probability of success. If I am a local resident I would watch the river mouth closely and if lots of fish start jumping in the mouth it is time to go fishing.
Just curious, but where does that info come from about their movement in correlation to wind direction? I ask because Friday (tomorrow) is basically the only chance I have to go in the next two weeks.