Went out of Seward on Thursday. Morning marine forecast was 3 ft seas. Should have got more nervous when an older gentlemen at the harbor in the morning said "Makes you wonder why you don't see any other boats going out doesn't it?" He told us there were 8 foot swells at the outer Bay and that we would not reach Pony Cove. Oh, well, figured we would just stay in closer and should be fine. Went as far as the south side of Bear Glacier. On the way back the wind changed from south to north (as was predicted by the forecast) but hit 20 to 25 knots instead of 10 to 15 as predicted. The end result with the wind opposing the swells was solid 4 to 6 foot steep waves between Caines Head and Seward.........Marine forecast was upgraded to Small Craft Advisory with 5ft seas at 4:00 PM (we hit the harbor at 5:00). We were in a 22ft Boulton Aurora and partially buried the bow a few times...........a rather scary experience that I would not like to repeat. Now all of this makes me wonder the following questions:
Does the marine forecast predict wave heights based on expected wind speed and direction only? Or does it use off-shore bouy data to consider ocean swells also and their effect further inland?
By the way, mooched 8 silvers, got 6 halibut & 12 black rockfish!