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    ADF&G RELEASES COOK INLET SALMON ESCAPEMENT GOAL RECOMMENDATIONS
    (Anchorage) - The Alaska Department of Fish and Game (ADF&G) recently completed its review of salmon escapement goals for Cook Inlet salmon stocks and has released its recommendations to the public. On March 27, 2019, ADF&G released two memos, one for Upper Cook Inlet (UCI) and one for Lower Cook Inlet (LCI), summarizing ADF&G’s review and recommendations for each area’s salmon escapement goals. Managing for escapement, or the number of adult fish that survive to spawn each year, is the keystone of salmon management in Alaska. Escapement goals set stock appropriate targets that determine inseason management of those salmon fisheries. Since statehood, escapement goals for Cook Inlet salmon stocks have been set and evaluated at regular intervals. Prior to Alaska Board of Fisheries (BOF) meetings, staff from the divisions of Commercial Fisheries and Sport Fish jointly reviewed salmon escapement goals for each area. Cook Inlet goals were last reviewed prior to the 2016–2017 BOF cycle.In response to public requests, ADF&G is releasing these salmon escapement goal recommendations several months earlier than normal to provide the public an opportunity for review prior to the April 10, 2019, BOF proposal deadline. It is important to note the new goals will not be implemented until the 2020 fishing season, as recommendations are not adopted until after the 2019–2020 BOF regulatory cycle.The memos summarizing ADF&G’s review and recommendations for the UCI and LCI salmon escapement goals can be found on the ADF&G website at: http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/index.cfm?adfg=fisheriesboard.meetinginfo&date=10-23-2019&meeting=anchorage.For additional information and questions about the process or recommended goals, please contact Tom Vania at (907) 267-2131 or Bert Lewis at (907) 267-2173.
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    Member fishNphysician's Avatar
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    WOW.... 184 views and no replies to date. I posted this same issue to the Fisheries Mgt Forum on the Cook Inlet chinook collapse thread.

    This is the inherent flaw of the MSY mindset:

    No matter how small a diminished population declines, there is a theoretic "sustainable yield" in this warped paradigm. In other words, there is ALWAYS room for an MSY harvest.... and as the population gets smaller, it is invariably accomplished by reducing the escapement goal.

    Been watching this play out in every arena of fish management that I've participated in the last 25 years.... Alaska, Washington, Oregon.

    The MSY paradigm is a horribly poor fit for recovering depleted salmon runs, yet it is the model that fish managers up and down the entire west coast persistently cling to.... or perhaps more accurately WORSHIP.

    I've watched the MSY mantra at work for virtually my entire fishing career, and I can tell you this. I've yet to see a single depleted stock of salmon harvested back to recovery.
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    Member fishNphysician's Avatar
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    The MSY mantra has proven to be anything but sustainable...

    https://books.google.com/books/about...page&q&f=false

    Looking back, the MSY story perfectly illustrates a historical ignorance (denial?) so profound that it is indistinguishable from willful blindness.
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    I may be ignorant, but I've never believed that reducing the escapement goal is sound practice in fisheries management. In fact when I first heard of it I couldn't believe what I was hearing...
    Sheep hunting...... the pain goes away, but the stupidity remains...!!!

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    Member kenaibow fan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4merguide View Post
    I may be ignorant, but I've never believed that reducing the escapement goal is sound practice in fisheries management. In fact when I first heard of it I couldn't believe what I was hearing...
    Ok while I have to agree as a whole lowering escapement goals to meet MSY in my opinion, will create a smaller return, I have seen data from a biologist, suggesting there is a sweet spot that is less at times lower then typically accepted escapement by the masses that will allow larger returns in the future. With that being said I realize there are a lot of what ifs involved with that not to mention if you don't get projected returns your up the creek. So I think there is merit there but how sound I do not know and wouldn't bet my job on it.

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    Member fishNphysician's Avatar
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    This illustrates the problem with the MSY-mindset...

    https://www.researchgate.net/figure/...fig2_237361379




    Some of us have a problem with this idea that it's OK to perpetually kill 70% of the pre-spawn adult recruits in order to maintain MSY.
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    Member fishNphysician's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenaibow fan View Post
    Ok while I have to agree as a whole lowering escapement goals to meet MSY in my opinion, will create a smaller return.
    Managing for MSY is by design intended to manage for a numerically SMALLER return. The MSY paradigm does NOT seek to produce maximum adult recruitment (abundance or total return) but rather maximum harvest... the ability to sustainably kill the largest proportion of the return year in and year out.
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
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    Member fishNphysician's Avatar
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    ... at the lowest possible escapement.
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
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    Member willphish4food's Avatar
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    I completely agree, Doc. This argument has been made quite heatedly at numerous BOG meetings. Too many variables go into what is going to come back any given year to be always shooting for a low end escapement.

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