So the sockeye forecast for UCI is out and it is full of traps and pitfalls. First, the Susitna River sockeye is forecast at 267,000 fish which is about what the Susitna should get for escapement - does this mean really restricted drift fishing time in the district - it should. Next, the chinook forecast of 22,000 means restrictions on the ESSN and with Kasilof at over 1 million sockeye that means terminal fishing time at Kasilof - not a good thing for Kasilof chinook.
So what does ADF&G do? Make Kenai chinook the priority again and write off Susitna sockeye and Kasilof chinook, do they just say we are going over the sockeye goals and let the public know that up front, or do they hope that the forecast is wrong and things will work out?
I know with the Susitna sockeye situation fishing the expanded corridor to save Kenai chinook and harvest Kenai/Kasilof sockeye will not work. Susitna sockeye are found in good numbers in the expanded corridor. Maybe bringing it in to 5 miles or less may help.
The ESSN will need to fish when fish hit the beach for Kenai but Kasilof is not that type of fishery. It may be better to fish the traditional set net fishery and take a few more Kenai chinook given the chinook forecast.
Should be interesting to watch how the political and management decisions play out with a new Commissioner.