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Thread: Reports of Sockeye wave headed for Kenai?

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    Member Col. F Rodder's Avatar
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    Default Reports of Sockeye wave headed for Kenai?

    Any word from the fleet on what's going on out in Cook Inlet and if any large scools of Red have been spotted moving towards the K & K rivers? Saw a report on the saltwater post of large amount off Calm gulch but can't verify.
    Anyone want to guess the day the big push is going to hit? There on the 16th can't wait.

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    first wave should hit tomorrow or saturday. i have to hold myself back from driving there this weekend LOL!

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    Member c6 batmobile's Avatar
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    It's going to be soon. The comm fleet had a quarter million fish haul the other day. The kasilof had almost 30 past the weir yesterday. My guess is the first slug hits in a few days but there are gonna be several large days this year judging by the reports from all down the peninsula.
    Makin fur fins and feathers fly.

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    Quote Originally Posted by c6 batmobile View Post
    It's going to be soon. The comm fleet had a quarter million fish haul the other day. The kasilof had almost 30 past the weir yesterday. My guess is the first slug hits in a few days but there are gonna be several large days this year judging by the reports from all down the peninsula.
    hopefully the BIG BIG slugs hit late next week! i've got me a five day weekend to spend down there

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    Member c6 batmobile's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SalmonSlut View Post
    hopefully the BIG BIG slugs hit late next week! i've got me a five day weekend to spend down there
    You and me both! I go on leave starting next friday until the end of the month. Im gonna fish until my arms fall off.
    Makin fur fins and feathers fly.

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    The first big push is a ways off.

    The major body of Kenai-bound fish has yet to enter the Central District.

    Couple things to keep an eye on that tell you the big push is eminent...

    1) The OTF.... if you see big numbers at the southern transect (Anchor Point) fish are moving into the district. Even more important is the size index.... when you see it flip to 600+ that's a good indicator that Kenai fish are predominating the average size.

    2) The marine forecast.... strong predominantly SW winds set up conditions to make the fish commit to the beach

    3) The tide table.... a nice outgoing tide combined with SW winds will push the plume of Kenai water tight to the east side beaches.... a magnet for attracting sockeye ashore. Once those fish storm the beach, they are held there by the strong Kenai scent and there's no stopping them..... up they go! Much to the delight of the dippers and flippers.

    ...

    So watch the OTF. Once the fish arrive, watch the wind/tide to predict the conditions conducive to moving fish to the beach. Then get your butt down to the river ASAP.
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
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    Example.... the OTF on Sun and Tues was over 100, indicating two big slugs of fish moving into the district. But the average size was small indicating a predominance of Kasilof stock and not much Kenai. Those fish showed up in the big catches on Mon and Wed. SW wind has been favorable to moving fish to the beach and on into the river... as evidenced by Wed's big push into the Kasilof River.... 26.6K escapement.
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
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    Member Col. F Rodder's Avatar
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    Doc do you have a link to OTF to see what going on?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Col. F Rodder View Post
    Doc do you have a link to OTF to see what going on?

    Call 262-9611 . . . OTF index is included, usually near the end of the report . .

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    Quote Originally Posted by Col. F Rodder View Post
    Doc do you have a link to OTF to see what going on?

    OTF: http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/index.cfm...lmon#/research

    WIND: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=PKZ140

    TIDE: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noa...tionid=TWC1983
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
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    Here's another link to fish counts and OTF...

    http://www.alaskaoutdoorjournal.com/...kenaisock.html
    English is an odd language. It can understood through tough thorough thought, though.

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    Edited because the links answered my question............

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    Member fishNphysician's Avatar
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    Default Surprise surprise...

    Pretty good spurt snuck thru yday... 33.7K. Will it be sustained?
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
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    Lower river was DEAD last night, had to run up river to nearly the moose river and even then fishing was mediocre, 2 kept 5 lost between three of us.

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    Member Col. F Rodder's Avatar
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    Looking at other rivers and how the runs have come through, I think it is going to be bigger than forecast. Reds seem to be stronger than ever this year.
    4 days and counting!!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by fishNphysician View Post
    Pretty good spurt snuck thru yday... 33.7K. Will it be sustained?
    Apparently not.

    Only 10K passed the counter y'day.

    Nets did OK (total 89K all fleets set/drift), but not even close to the slayfest associated with the BIG push.

    OTF has not been updated the past 2 days so it's tough to tell from the web what's coming into the district. However the southern-most setnet sites did quite well with 22K from the Ninilchik stat area alone. Could be the front end of that mass of Kenai fish pushing northward into the inlet.

    Predominantly S winds forecast thru Monday, shifting SW on Tue/Wed.... could be a good setup for a BIG push in-river for July 17/18.
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
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    Member c6 batmobile's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by fishNphysician View Post
    could be a good setup for a BIG push in-river for July 17/18.
    Weird. Almost like the last couple years. My prediction was for the 18th. I plan on being there on the 19th so hopefully I am right.
    Makin fur fins and feathers fly.

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    Quote Originally Posted by c6 batmobile View Post
    Weird. Almost like the last couple years. My prediction was for the 18th. I plan on being there on the 19th so hopefully I am right.
    Last year, Kenai fish were definitely in the district by July 12.... when drifters took 120K on their first banner day of the season. They pushed into the river late Saturday night July 14 and registered on the sockeye sonar by day's end on Sunday July 15 with a total count of over 119K.

    http://forums.outdoorsdirectory.com/...the-first-push

    In 2011, the fish committed to the river beginning July 16, registering at the sonar on July 17.... an astounding 230.6K!

    In 2010, the fish committed to the beach and on up the river beginning July 15. That first wad registered at the sonar on July 16..... 64.5K
    "Let every angler who loves to fish think what it would mean to him to find the fish were gone." Zane Grey
    http://www.piscatorialpursuits.com/uploads/UP12710.jpg
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    Drifted Centennial to Eagle Rock tonight; didn't see much action on the banks.

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    Quote Originally Posted by c6 batmobile View Post
    Weird. Almost like the last couple years. My prediction was for the 18th. I plan on being there on the 19th so hopefully I am right.
    Hope you are right, we arrive the 19th as well.

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