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Thread: Marine Forecast

  1. #1
    Member Roger's Avatar
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    Default Marine Forecast

    When does the Marine forecast change over to next weeks forecast ? Wish I was ready this week looks great. Have to pick up a few more things for the boat.But plan on heading out early next week
    PEOPLE SAY I HAVE A.D.D I DON'T UNDERSTA.....OH LOOK A MOOSE !!!

  2. #2
    Member Rob B's Avatar
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    NOAA usually updates to the following day every day. Not sure if I'm liking the new test page they are trying out, but it's usually pretty accurate if you look at the graphical page.
    27' Wooldridge Super Sport Offshore Pilothouse PRIME TIME!
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  3. #3

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    I look at this one daily...updates are at 4am and 4pm.

    http://pafc.arh.noaa.gov/marfcst.php?fcst=FZAK51PAFC


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  4. #4
    Member kodiakrain's Avatar
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    Yeah, it's twice a day, "Brand New at 4,"...sometimes you can pick up the newest 12 hr change at 3-3:30, if you're eager

    I prefer listening to the Marine forecast, versus the Regular, even for the land weather,
    once you learn to interpret what the winds and direction mean,...
    it's pretty accurate, what's moving up the coast

    Listen every 12 hrs,...you'll get a pretty good picture of the developing weather

    As far as the weeks forecast tho, I think you can only count on max 72 hrs ahead,...too many variables beyond that

    Weather moves from the west tho, so if you want to "guess ahead," listen to the stuff out the Aleutian Chain,...

    That will be coming West, to some degree, in the days following
    Ten Hours in that little raft off the AK peninsula, blowin' NW 60, in November.... "the Power of Life and Death is in the Tongue," and Yes, God is Good !

  5. #5
    Member Roger's Avatar
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    Default

    Thanks,Will keep all that in mind
    PEOPLE SAY I HAVE A.D.D I DON'T UNDERSTA.....OH LOOK A MOOSE !!!

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    Member KenaiFly's Avatar
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    NWS does not have a good long term product. Reading the forecast discussion gives a fair understanding of the two forecast models used and and idea of what to expect in the long term.

    The best long term visual I have found is here... http://www.stormsurf.com/locals/npac.shtml

    Click on the tabs at the top and see model forecasts out to a week. The jetstream will confirm tracking of the weather features. The scale is large, but that helps to get an understanding of the overall progression of developing systems.

  7. #7
    Member breausaw's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kodiakrain View Post
    As far as the weeks forecast tho, I think you can only count on max 72 hrs ahead,...too many variables beyond that
    You are too kind, Iíd say more like 36 hours.
    More times than I can count the weekend weather window looked great right up to Friday morning, then itís like NOAA decides to read between the weather lines. Last weekend was classic, Thursday night weekend weather looked great than Friday it all fell apart. Itís like the NOAA weather forecasters wait tell Friday to really pay attention. This is why itís so critical to check for weather updates throughout the day, if a low unexpectedly changes course NOAA will often issue an urgent update at anytime.


    This in unreal, let's hope it holds.

    Zone Forecast: Prince William Sound (PKZ125)

    Today...N wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

    Tonight...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft.

    Thu...N wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

    Thu Night...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

    Fri Through Sun...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.


    Jay
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  8. #8

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    Jay,

    I agree that is the most optimistic PWS forecast I have ever seen. It looks like a great weekend to go out. The weather even looks ok....As they say, we'll see.....I bet a major revision is in order soon.....

  9. #9
    Member breausaw's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by T.R. Bauer View Post
    Jay,

    .....I bet a major revision is in order soon.....
    As always prepare for the worst, expect the worst, and embrace what comes your way. If you leave port with an open mind there will be no disappointments.

  10. #10

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    Yep, this weekend looks awesome but as noted I only use the 24 hour version to decide....it often-times changes. I like to look at the overall pattern and make an educated decision.


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  11. #11

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    It must be frozen over, that's why there are no waves! HA!

  12. #12
    Member Rob B's Avatar
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    Catching the 7:30 tunnel tomorrow morning. It's looking like a great weekend. See you all out there. If ya see us, say hey.
    27' Wooldridge Super Sport Offshore Pilothouse PRIME TIME!
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